Indianz.Com > News > Montana Free Press: Senate race is one of most closely watched in nation
Reading the weather in Bullock vs. Daines
The outcome will help decide control of the Senate, and both candidates are touting their environmental credentials.
Montana Free Press
Gov. Steve Bullock quit the Democrats’ presidential contest in December, then announced his campaign a few months later to oust Republican incumbent Sen. Steve Daines. Bullock now finds himself in one of the nation’s most closely watched election fights of 2020 — a toss-up race that could help flip the U.S. Senate from Republican to Democratic control and make way for national climate action.
Democrats need to win four seats held by Republicans to reclaim the Senate majority, or three GOP seats and a Democratic White House for a tie-breaking vice president’s vote. That’s why a New York Times
opinion piece
described Bullock, who’s
won praise
for his handling of the coronavirus pandemic, as “the most important person on the planet.”
During his presidential run, Bullock told the
Washington Post
that he favored a “more focused” clean-energy program than the Green New Deal, and said U.S. climate policy “must be ambitious, durable…[and have] a bipartisan foundation.” Although he opposed Obama-era fracking rules, Bullock told the Post he supported significant increases in renewables, energy efficiency and investment in carbon capture, along with reversing the Trump administration’s fuel-efficiency-standard rollbacks and withdrawal from the Paris climate accord.
Bullock began building his climate bona fides in his second term as governor, beginning with a statewide climate assessment in 2017. Last year, he requested the Montana Climate Solutions Plan, which was
released
September 9, and enlisted his state in the U.S. Climate Alliance. Actions like these might be years behind efforts by more climate-concerned Western states, but Bullock’s leadership on the issue moves the conversation forward in a state where mining and fossil-fuel interests have historically dominated politics.
“We can see [the climate changing] right here in Montana in longer, more intense fire seasons, and the loss of ice in Glacier National Park each year,” Bullock’s
campaign web page
says. “By making smart policy decisions, we can mitigate the effects of climate change on agriculture, the environment, and public lands, while protecting jobs and investing in new industries.”
There’s no question the GOP has been worried about a Democrat unseating the incumbent, Daines.
One sign: The GOP
secretly paid
$100,000 for a signature drive to get a ticket-splitting Green Party candidate on the 2020 ballot — without involving the state or national organizers for the Greens. Montana Secretary of State Corey Stapleton certified the Green Party candidate’s name to appear on the ballot, but the move was nixed by state courts and ultimately turned away by the U.S. Supreme Court.
An absolute honor to be endorsed by the Crow Tribe and to stand with @VP as he and @realDonaldTrump receive the Crow’s endorsement as well. 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸 pic.twitter.com/mCZtA6p2nL
— Steve Daines (@SteveDaines) September 14, 2020
DAINES BURNISHES HIS ENVIRONMENTAL CREDENTIALS
Montana’s Republican senator has made protecting Montana outdoor values an enduring theme in his pitch to voters. With Montana declared a “toss-up” state over the summer, the environment — and even climate policy — began to play a bigger role in Daines’ campaign to retain his Senate seat.
He stepped up efforts to green his image last fall, beginning with his partnership with another vulnerable western Republican, Colorado Sen. Cory Gardner, to end GOP resistance to reauthorizing the wildly popular Land and Water Conservation Fund (LWCF). Congressional Republicans had let the law lapse, but Daines and Gardner succeeded in persuading leaders to put it back on the Washington agenda.
In March, the duo
announced
that they’d convinced President Donald Trump to sign a bill securing permanent funding for the LWCF, which has helped finance park and conservation projects nationwide. After it was
signed
into law, Daines edged ahead in the
polls.
Trump also helped Daines dodge a bullet by
withdrawing
William Perry Pendley’s name for leadership of the U.S. Bureau of Land Management. A conservative lawyer and self-described sagebrush rebel, Pendley was targeted by conservation and green groups for advocating the sale of federal land and other controversial stands.
As a member of the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee, Daines would have been forced to
vote
on advancing Pendley’s name to the Senate floor had the administration not withdrawn the nomination. In contrast,
Bullock took the nomination to federal court, suing to block the nominee from becoming the BLM’s leader or from continuing as “acting” director, as Pendley has been for the past year.
THE TAKEAWAY
Climate change might not be the issue driving all Montanans to the polls, but the fight over Daines’ Senate seat will have implications nationally — not only on climate policy, but on every other issue caught in the partisan fray.
That helps explain why political action committees are playing such a big role in the Montana Senate campaigns this year. Republican and Libertarian groups have spent more than $16 million to defeat Bullock, while Democratic PACs and others opposed to Daines have spent more than $14 million through June 30, according to the
Center for Responsive Politics. In fact, that combined opposition spending of more than $34 million is greater than the sums the Montana Senate campaigns have reported spending.
If Democrats succeed in winning the seats they need to gain a majority, or a tie-breaking vote by a Democratic president, they might be able to start advancing climate action, including policies to reduce the greenhouse gas emissions responsible for climate change, and begin shifting the economy away from fossil-fuel dependence.
But the answer won’t be known until voters have their say on November 3, after a dozen close Senate races like Montana’s are finally decided.
This story is part of an InsideClimate News series focusing on climate change in 11 key Senate races on the ballot in November.
Judy Fahys writes for InsideClimate News and occasionally produces audio stories. She used to cover the West from Washington, D.C., but made a course correction and settled in Salt Lake City so she can actually enjoy the wild places (and people) in her stories. You can reach her at judy.fahys@insideclimatenews.org.
Note: This story originally appeared on Montana Free Press. It is published under a Creative Commons license. Thumbnail photo of Steve Daines by Joel Kowsky / NASA. Thumbnail photo of Steve Bullock by Kevin Abourezk / Indianz.Com
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